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Posted by BradyNet ( Thursday, April 24, '03 )
 
*NEW* Stay on top of important market events with the IdeaGlobal/BradyNet Economic Calendar

 GLOBAL MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
*Fair Trade Coffee Urged on Campuses 04-24-03 (Yahoo) As many as 200 schools, activists say, are responding to calls to change the way they purchase coffee so that poor farmers, mainly in Central America, get a bigger cut of the profit from the beans they grow. "You can make a difference for a child you've never met," said Cindy Megill, a junior at central Pennsylvania's Juniata College. "Or you can buy a cup of coffee with a corporate logo on it." Like students at other schools, Megill — a tea-drinker herself — is pushing Juniata to exclusively serve fair trade label coffee in campus dining halls and cafes.
*WTO Says Trade Up by 2.5 Percent in 2002 04-24-03 (Yahoo) Measured in revenue, exports of goods rose to $6.24 trillion in 2002. The report said "the largest single element in the global trade recovery of last year was North America," with a 3 percent increase in U.S. imports. U.S. exports fell by nearly 4 percent, partly because of reduced demand from trading partners with economic problems. Despite the improvement in imports in the United States, the continued economic sluggishness in many other markets led to lower inflation rates, worsening unemployment and a massive decline in international investment, which fell to $500 billion in 2002 from $1.2 trillion in 2000
*U.S. Economy Lackluster - Fed 04-24-03 (Yahoo) "The onset of the war with Iraq appeared to have some effect on sales and spending, although it is too early to ascertain the full effect on both consumer and business confidence," the Fed said in its periodic "beige book" report, an anecdotal summary of economic conditions across the nation for use by policymakers at their next meeting in early May. The report was compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland from information gathered by the regional Fed banks before April 15. Economists worried the constant drumbeat of news leading up to and during the war could shake consumer confidence.
*Scientists Say Sex the Main Source of HIV in Africa 04-24-03 (Yahoo) Globally, more people are infected with hepatitis C than HIV. However, unlike other nations, sub-Saharan African countries have a higher rate of HIV than hepatitis C. A needle tainted with hepatitis C-infected blood is six times more likely to infect a person than a needle tainted with HIV is, the authors of the new study note in the April 17th issue of Nature. And given that HIV is more common than hepatitis C in sub-Saharan Africa, the high prevalence of HIV must be due to factors besides the use of unsterile needles or contaminated blood products, they say.
*Raise the gas tax 04-24-03 (sunspot.net) These proposed changes were announced among other service reductions - and a one-way Baltimore bus, light rail and Metro fare hike from $1.35 to $1.60. State transportation officials say the cuts are targeted at underused routes and, as with the shuttles, those with low fare-recovery rates. They say the fare increase - the system's first in seven years - will help move its overall recovery rate, now down to 36.5 percent, toward the state-mandated level of 40 percent. But an 18.5 percent rise in costs for mass transit riders, many of whom are low-income, is harder to justify when Maryland has not raised its gasoline tax in 11 years. It's time for Gov. Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. to drop his neutral stance on doing so.
*The bottom dollar 04-23-03 (guardian.co.uk) The problem with American power is not that it's American. Most states with the resources and opportunities the US possesses would have done far worse. The problem is that one nation, effectively unchecked by any other, can, if it chooses, now determine how the rest of the world will live. Eventually, unless we stop it, it will use this power. So far, it has merely tested its new muscles. The presidential elections next year might prevent an immediate entanglement with another nation, but there is little doubt about the scope of the US government's ambitions. Already, it has begun to execute a slow but comprehensive coup against the international order, destroying or undermining the institutions that might have sought to restrain it. On these pages two weeks ago, James Woolsey, an influential hawk and formerly the director of the CIA, argued for a war lasting for decades "to extend democracy" to the entire Arab and Muslim world.
*SARS Economic Impact Is Felt Across Wide Swath Of Industries 04-23-03 (Yahoo) Computer, electronics, apparel and other firms are edgy about supply-chain troubles as their Asian partners send thousands of workers home and shut assembly lines. "There's going to be a major disruption in the movement of high-value electronic components if expat managers can't fly in to service factories or major airlines stop delivering out of Asia," said Aberdeen Group's Peter Kastner.

 LATIN AMERICA
*Colombia, Venezuela to discuss border 04-24-03 (miami.com) The blue-green mountains of the Perijá range that rise just a short distance west of this small Venezuelan town mark the official border with neighboring Colombia. But if border residents, and the Colombian government itself, are to be believed, the border these days is little more than a line on a map, left increasingly unprotected by the Venezuelan government of President Hugo Chávez, whom they accuse of allowing Colombian leftist guerrillas to cross back and forth virtually at will.
*Brazils leaders set on reforms 04-23-03 (Financial Times) In the decades-long battle over whether to expand the practice of gambling in America, this was supposed to be a big year for pro-gambling forces. With state budget crises hitting hard, 34 states are considering whether to expand gambling and tap into the geyser of cash it provides.
*Argentines Seek Leader to End Crisis 04-23-03 (Yahoo) Argentina's crushing economic crisis put Mercuri's architect husband, Enrique, out of work a year ago. Like tens of thousands of fellow Argentines, he went to Europe and found a job. "I don't know who will make the best president," said Mercuri, 51, who can't decide among the five major candidates seen in a tight race going into Sunday's election. "But I do feel bad for my country. I cry a lot. Things are so difficult here."
*Argentina Govt Sends Bank Compensation Bill To Congress 04-23-03 (Yahoo) The bill, a copy of which was faxed to Dow Jones Newswires late Tuesday, proposes to compensate the banks in long-term bonds that will mature in 2013. The government would start paying the compensation later this year. In order to receive the compensation, the bill says, a financial institution must take steps to return its ratio of private/public sector assets back to the level it was at the end of 2001, when the country's economic crisis reached its zenith.

 RUSSIA
*Russian Merger Creates a New Oil Giant 04-24-03 (Washington Post) Russia's biggest oil company, Yukos, today announced a deal to buy another major Russian oil firm, Sibneft, a move they said would create the fourth-largest private oil producer in the world. Yukos said the new company would produce 2.3 million barrels of crude oil a day, an amount surpassed only by British Petroleum PLC, Exxon Mobil Corp. and Royal Dutch/Shell Group. If measured by the volume of proven oil reserves it controls in the ground, the new company would rank higher than any other private oil company
*New Russian bear enters oil market 04-23-03 (BBC) Sibneft, which leapt up the rankings last year when it snapped up Russia's last major state-owned oil concern Slavneft, is being bought by Russian number two Yukos. The new concern will control reserves totalling 20 billion barrels - not including Slavneft's - which outstrips the UK's entire North Sea reserves or the Prudhoe Bay fields in Alaska, the pair said in a statement.

 ASIA
*50 people quarantined in Philippines after contact with SARS fatality 04-23-03 (Yahoo) The government has tracked down another 200 people who had casual contact with the nursing assistant who died of suspected Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) on April 14 following her return from Canada. She is believed to have contracted SARS from her roommate's mother in Canada, health workers here said Wednesday. Troy Gepte, a member of the Philippine government's anti-SARS task force, said 50 people in Alcala town, 160 kilometers (100 miles) from Manila, have been confined to their homes and were being monitored.
*Philippines suffers second suspected SARS death 04-23-03 (Yahoo) The health department said the man had been suffering from cancer but could not rule out Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) as the cause of death. The unidentified patient's body will remain in quarantine in the state-run Research Institute for Tropical Medicine until later this month, a health department statement said. The man's daughter, a 46-year-old nursing assistant, died last week in what the government said was the first probable SARS fatality here. The woman died on April 14 shortly after returning to Manila from Canada where she had worked at a nursing home in Toronto.

 AFRICA
*Africa wakes up to Sars 04-24-03 (BBC) African countries are stepping up measures at ports and airports to detect travellers who might be carrying the Sars virus. Many Beijing residents are anxious to leave This follows warnings that the pneumonia-like disease poses a particular threat to people whose immune systems have been weakened by Aids. So far the continent has not been affected by Sars, although one suspected case is being investigated in South Africa.

 OIL PRICES
*OPEC to cut production to avert price slump: ministers 04-24-03 (Yahoo) "Tomorrow we will make sure we keep the market where it is in the band," Saudi Arabian oil minister Ali al-Nuaimi told journalists in Vienna, a day ahead of a meeting in the Austrian capital of the 11-nation Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries, without the participation of Iraq. "We are concerned if we don't take some steps that an oil glut may form in two, three months," Al-Nuaimi said, with the possibility of Iraq resuming crude oil exports in the near future. Qatar Oil Minister Abdullah bin Hamad al-Attiyah, who is the OPEC president, said he thought there was a surplus on the world market of more than two million barrels per day (bpd).
*Oil From Iraq Fields Start Flowing Again 04-24-03 (Yahoo) U.S. Brig. Gen. Robert Crear turned the tap at a storage facility outside the southern city of Basra and watched as slick black crude dribbled from the spigot and oozed between his fingers. "Now we're in the oil business," Crear said, laughing. The oil will be used for domestic production, not for export. And the meager flow sprang from only four of hundreds of wells in Iraq's southern oil heartland.
*OPEC to Curb Oil Supply After Iraq War 04-24-03 (Yahoo) UAE Petroleum and Mineral Resources Minister Obaid bin Saif al-Nasseri said OPEC should rein in excess supply over its official quotas, which ballooned to 1.8 million barrels per day last month. "I think we have to tackle first compliance," Nasseri told reporters ahead of the emergency session on Thursday. "Then we shall see if there is a need to cut and then we shall cut."
*Refining OPECs Quotas 04-24-03 (Washington Post) Before the war in Iraq, the world's key oil-producing countries boosted their daily production, fearing that conflict in the Persian Gulf might lead to shortages and soaring prices that could hurt the economies of their best customers. Now that the fighting has ended with little damage to Iraq's oil wells, ministers of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will confront not a shortage but the possibility of an oversupply -- and falling prices -- when they meet Thursday at the group's headquarters in Vienna. Some of the 11 members, including Iran, Nigeria and Algeria, have called for production cuts of 1.5 million to 2 million barrels a day from the current level of about 27 million barrels a day.
 
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04-25-03  dooper: Is it me, or does Guti look like a suntanned Kramer?

http://espanol.news.yahoo.com/03042...


04-25-03  SPAL: <04-24-03 carib: SPAL: seriously, if you cared to join us in the mountain retreat, it would be a pleasure> ... I do like the idea in theory ... options always have value, more so when granted by friends ...

04-24-03  dooper: < carib: Interesting, extend <big mac Currency index>>

I love this clever little tool from The Economist! I can vouch for the Aussie price: a Big Mac is currently AUD 3.00 everywhere - prices seem to be set at a national level for all franchisees.

The US price, however, often seems higher than the prices I see when I visit over there. I have never seen a Big Mac higher than USD 2.00 - I can only assume that there are franchisees charging USD 5.00 in some of the high rent districts to bring the average up.


04-24-03  carib: SPAL: seriously, if you cared to join us in the mountain retreat, it would be a pleasure.

04-24-03  SPAL: Not sure who asked this one but IF Rasta has a problem it will be sui generis - there will be no contagion elsewhere in the Caribbean.

04-24-03  SPAL: <I will also immediately proceed to reserve a proper <mountain>> :-))

<...but I have to consult with Wally about the precise location...> yes there are many practical considerations particularly wind speed and direction relative to flying time of the kung fu ducks and associated considerations.


04-24-03  carib: Interesting, extend <big mac Currency index>, on the Economist http://www.economist.com/displaysto...

04-24-03  SPAL: Fox - for the record I agree also that the tide has turned on URU and those in the bonds did good ... I had started feeling this way over the past few weeks and seeing your comment simply prompted me to agree.

04-24-03  carib: SPAL: BLX did not go up enough to allow me to offer you a full mountain, but a week-end on the said mountain or in the Caribbean for sure...I will also immediately proceed to reserve a proper <mountain> for you...but I have to consult with Wally about the precise location...

04-24-03  SPAL: <Unfortunately, we already got our "mountains". We just need to get one more for C banker and one for Fox ...> ... hey fellas make sure the mountain range has room enough for SPAL ...

<Florida: for all those who bailed on BLX up 17.83% today> nice huh ... my cards were folded on this one a little to early congrats to you on keeping the faith - same goes to your buddy Trawler and the others who stayed aboard.

Carib you are exactly right on this one Q1 will very likely exceed expectations ... I think the recap is dead ... she's likely $10 plus in May.

<Amateur: Sold today 13 of my BLX at 7.5, covering all the cost of the original 3/3. Spal, you have a full dinner in BA to your credit any time!> ... noted amigo!! Glad old BLX treated you well!

<Bot a little SBAC too, to be on board> ... so I guess no complaints on our 16.8% ride today! It may cut back as there are still many brain-amputated, but persistent day traders and nervous rats & mice investors on this one. Nontheless I bought another 5k lifting my hold to 55k this afternoon ... I think now she is on her way and we will get mega traction upwards as we close on the May 9 date [mentioned previously]. Closing up on Friday going into the week-end will be a good sign. With the wind at our backs we will break into the $3-4 range in May.


04-24-03  carib: Brasileiros, for once, start worring about the dollar getting too week... <O ministro Antonio Palocci (Fazenda) e o líder do governo no Senado, Aloizio Mercadante (PT-SP), divergiram nesta quinta-feira sobre a necessidade de adotar medidas para evitar uma queda maior do dólar.

A moeda americana acumula baixa de quase 10% neste mês e, pelo segundo dia seguido, chegou a ser negociada abaixo de R$ 3. Segundo analistas, um dólar inferior a esse patamar pode prejudicar as exportações do país.

O senador defendeu o uso de mecanismos pelo Banco Central para controlar a redução da taxa de câmbio.

Já Palocci repetiu a tese de câmbio flutuante e a declaração já feita pelo presidente Lula de que "o dólar deve cair o quanto tiver de cair".

Durante seminário no Ministério do Planejamento, Mercadante afirmou que o governo está "atento" à valorização do câmbio e não permitirá que a queda da moeda americana prejudique o superávit da balança comercial.

"Se nada for feito, eu farei algumas declarações bombásticas para segurar o câmbio", disse o senador, sorrindo.

Após o discurso de Mercadante, Palocci fez questão de pedir a palavra e dizer, também em tom de brincadeira, que discorda das "declarações bombásticas".

"Não entendi o que o Mercadante falou", disse na saída do seminário.

"O presidente já disse que o câmbio no Brasil é flutuante e vai encontrar seu valor [de equilíbrio] naturalmente", disse.>


04-24-03  wally: <You make it sound like a joke... It isn't.> so i've been told <MoneyPenny>. of course the lobbyists for the cariocas i meant as a joke but not "the others".

04-24-03  wally: <local Sports Authority>? come on <zephyr>! Kmart or WalMart will do!

04-24-03  moneypenny: Wallitos: <rumour has it they have a couple of fulltime lobbyists in D.C. on their payroll.> You make it sound like a joke... It isn't.

I actually found the guys.


04-24-03  moneypenny: <But the US is fiercely opposing any initiative of liberalisation of drugs in ANY part of the world.> If so, I disagree with this policy as it is none of GNoE's business. But are you sure of this, Gaucho? I know they have been hassling Bolivia about its cocaine production, and probably bankrolling the presidential campaign of Sanchez de Lozada on the sly. But when Netherlands or Switzerland or Norway legalizes dope in some of its cities, these places turn into pigholes on their own - the GNoE has nothing to say about it, and indeed I do not think they do. They can't come whining to GNoE about the state of their cities when they go bad due to the legalization of drugs there.

Similarly, I do not think GNoE has been bothering Laos and Cambodia about their liberal drug practices - though I think China has.

Yet you mean something - are you thinking of GNoE military aid to Colombia - this is something the Colombians asked for - I would not say this counts as unwelcome meddling if they ask. Are you thinking of GNoE carrot-and-stick incentive manuevers? I am sure GNoE does these, but I feel it is GNoE's right to withold aid or trade rights or whatever to anyone who ships illegal dope to GNoE against GNoE government's wishes - this is GNoE government's prerogative since it is GNoE's money that GNoE has the right to withold.

Or are you thinking of something else?


04-24-03  Zephyr: <whereas buying a long shotgun including the ammo takes minutes> This is a good idea. Consider the following situation: A herd of deer invade your yard and start to eat your azaleas, tulips, and buds off your fruit trees. With a waiting period, they will have devoured your entire yard before you get your semi-automatic 12 gauge.

In a reasonable state likes yours, you can quickly hop in your pickup, drive down to the local Sports Authority, load up, return home, and probably nail 1 or 2 of the suckers before they know what hit them.


04-24-03  dooper: Besides the backwardness of having laws that prohibit certain activities by and between consenting adults, one needs to also look at the devastating human toll of state imposed morality:

http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/glance...

Not only are such laws on the books, they are enforced with draconian jail terms. This is the main difference I see between the US and other democratic countries.


04-24-03  wally: well we have certain restrictions <zephyr>. for a (short) handgun there is still a waiting period of three days whereas buying a long shotgun including the ammo takes minutes.

04-24-03  wally: <Maybe the 101st would care to make a visit to the carioca favelas, to hunt down some drug lords?> carioca druglords watch TV <gaucho>. they also read the comments of <MoneyPenny> and are therefore educated enough to prevent any attack from the 101st by displaying prominent signs "Down with Castro!", "To hell with al-Qaeda!", "McDonald's for the poor!" and "Veni's Oil exclusively for the U.S.!" rumour has it they have a couple of fulltime lobbyists in D.C. on their payroll.

:~)))


04-24-03  Zephyr: <16> You live in a good county Wally. I feel like I live in a police state here as we have to wait until 18.

04-24-03  wally: <Why wait until 18?> i wanted to be on the safe side <zephyr> but was told later that age 16 and valid driver's license will suffice (in this county here).

:~)))


04-24-03  Zephyr: <but it's no problem to buy a gun and 1.000 rounds of ammunition at the age of 18! > Vally, don't be ridiculous. The GNoE wouldn't have stupid laws like that.

Why wait until 18? We can buy earlier than that (you just have to live in the right state), the stuff is cheap too.


04-24-03  Gaucho1: <I use my eyes.>

These last few weeks Rio de Janeiro has witnessed scenes that looked indistiguishable from Baghdad during the bombing campaign. Drug traffickers, angered at the arrest of some of their leaders, went on a terror spree burning buses, bombing hotels and murdering police. The last weekend saw a machine gun attack on a bus-full of military police. The machine gun was of a type heavy enough to down an apache helicopter. After the attack, all that that remained of the bus was a black, twisted pile of metal...

Maybe the 101st would care to make a visit to the carioca favelas, to hunt down some drug lords?


04-24-03  Gaucho1: <But GNoE, like China, has a right to keep dope out of its country if it wants to, >

Indeed it does, and I have no problem with that. B

ut the US is fiercely opposing any initiative of liberalisation of drugs in ANY part of the world.

A propos drug policy, The Economist (which is pro legalization)published a very illuminating article on its April 5 edition ("Just Say Maybe"-- I can email it to any one interested):

"But whatever the international agencies think [on the merits of drug liberalisation], plenty of countries that have signed the three conventions are vehemently opposed to any liberalisation.

America is easily the most powerful of these. Under the presidency of George Bush, says Ethan Niadelmann, executive director of the Drug Policy Alliance, an American lobbying group, prospects for even modest reform are bleaker than they were under his father´s presidency. America has the power to make life miserable for any developing country that does not share its enthusiasm for supressing drugs, and does not hesitate to use it".


04-24-03  moneypenny: But I agree here - fully...<Btw, it never failed to amaze me how, in the US, drinking is treated like a deadly sin. Beverage must be concealed in brown bags, drinking is not allowed until the age of 21 (thus the recurring pathetic phenomenon ofdroves of American teenagers drinking themselves into alcoholic comas in Mexico, during spring breaks), yet any lunatic has access to automatic weapons...>

04-24-03  moneypenny: <But GNoE, like China, has a right to keep dope out of its country if it wants to, just as Netherlands has a right to keep drugs in, (and who cares what its neighbor, France, thinks.)>

con't...

My own views on whether drugs should be legal where I live are based not on pharisaic principles, but on what communities with drugs look like, and what communities without drugs look like.

I use my eyes.


04-24-03  moneypenny: Gaucho: <Sounds like you would be happy to resurrect Prohibition...> On liquor? No. I am not for temperance movements. As for drugs, we already have prohibition. It does not work well, but I am on the fence as to whether anything else works better. The 'mow-'em-down' philosophy of GNoE against its enemies tends to work fairly well in places like Iraq and Afghanistan, so this must be the working model.

As for what other countries want to do with their drug laws - whether make drugs legal, (and turn formerly pristine cities in Norway & Switzerland into rat-infested junkie hellholes), or not make drugs legal, (and therefore be able to walk around the South Bronx at any hour of night -fact), this is up to the will of the individual country and its jurisdiction. I make no judgment. But GNoE, like China, has a right to keep dope out of its country if it wants to, just as Netherlands has a right to keep drugs in, (and who cares what its neighbor, France, thinks.)


04-24-03  wally: <Buenos Aires, April 24 (Bloomberg) -- Argentina's former President Carlos Menem, ex-Economy Minister Ricardo Lopez Murphy and Governor Nestor Kirchner are tied ahead of this weekend's election and any candidate may make it to a runoff, polls show.

``We're in a <<<situation without precedent>>>,'' said Roberto Bacman, who runs the Center of Public Opinion Studies. ``Until last week this was a perfectly normal election.''>

http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/new...


04-24-03  panasonic: Pinky-chameleon at his best:

http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/030424/econ...


04-24-03  victorn: Wally, apparently, it's a chilean tree. So?

04-24-03  panasonic: <Escipion: wally: <where to do we run?> Don´t know, cash is wonderful sometimes . I´m going just to look for places where park cash for a while.> dont forget me, need ideas to park cash!

04-24-03  wally: <Árbol americano> aha! we are getting close.

04-24-03  victorn: Wally, just consult the rae.es.

quiaca.
(De or. mapuche).
1. f. Árbol americano de tres a seis metros de alto, ramas largas y flexibles, hojas sencillas, oblongas, lanceoladas y aserradas, flores pequeñas, blancas y dispuestas en corimbo terminal compuesto.


04-24-03  wally: <drinking is not allowed until the age of 21> but it's no problem to buy a gun and 1.000 rounds of ammunition at the age of 18!

04-24-03  wally: <"the end of the world"> that's what quite a few people said when they saw the pictures.

04-24-03  Gaucho1: <They care about drugs. It doesn't matter if they are legal or illegal. They are going to get them regardless. That's it.>

Sounds like you would be happy to ressurect Prohibition...

I would not so much mind America's ferocious (pharisaic?) opposition to legalization abroad, even though I see it as a diversionist tactic from essentilly a failure to deal with with its own demand problem at home. I would not so much mind, were it not for the fact that today's al capones rake in billions in drug sales, command armed militia that murder any who stand in their way and, slowly but surely, are bringing democratic institutions to their knees in my country and much of Latin America.

Educate children against the dangers of drugs, but give junkies the sh*t for free!

Btw, it never failed to amaze me how, in the US, drinking is treated like a deadly sin. Beverage must be concealed in brown bags, drinking is not allowed until the age of 21 (thus the recurring pathetic phenomenon ofdroves of American teenagers drinking themselves into alcoholic comas in Mexico, during spring breaks), yet any lunatic has access to automatic weapons...


04-24-03  Escipion: wally: <is there a translation for the word Quiaca? > I don´t know the translation of the indian word, but, being the northest city of Argentina, is used in Buenos Aires as a simbol of something placed at "the end of the world"


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