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Posted by BradyNet ( Friday, October 24, '03 )
 
*NEW* Stay on top of important market events with the IdeaGlobal/BradyNet Economic Calendar

 GLOBAL MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
*Intel, HP chiefs praise offshore outsourcing 10-24-03 (Yahoo) ORLANDO, Fla. -- The CEOs of two technology giants on Tuesday issued an unapologetic defense of offshore outsourcing, saying that their firms need the talent that lies outside the U.S. and calling for increased investment in areas that will keep American workers competitive.
*U.S. Jobless Claims Fall to Lowest Level in a Month 10-23-03 (Yahoo) WASHINGTON -- The number of U.S. workers filing first-time applications for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week to its lowest level in a month.
*Texaco faces $1bn lawsuit 10-23-03 (BBC) A trial has begun in Ecuador's jungle town of Lago Agrio of the US oil giant ChevronTexaco, which is accused of polluting the country's rainforest and water resources.
*States Try to Poach California Businesses 10-23-03 (Yahoo) PORTLAND, Ore. - With California roiled by the recall campaign and struggling to right its foundering economy, Oregon and other states are swooping in to try to lure some of its businesses away.
*The secret of the permanent poor 10-23-03 (Yahoo) IT CAN BE the best of times or the worst of times, but whether in prosperity or recession, there is one constant in the U.S. economy: the richest country in the world maintains a permanent class of people who are poor.

 LATIN AMERICA
*Texaco Goes on Trial in Ecuador Pollution Case 10-24-03 (NY Times) AGO AGRIO, Ecuador, Oct. 22 - When René Arévalo draws water from his well, it is brown and gummy, requiring him to run it through a makeshift filtering system outside his wood-plank home in the jungle outside this town.
*Is the US plotting to murder Venezuelas president? 10-24-03 (Yahoo) Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez cancelled a planned trip last month to the United Nations General Assembly’s opening debate, explaining that he did so because of a potential threat on his life.
*U.S. Denies Alleged CIA Subversion in Venezuela 10-24-03 (Yahoo) CARACAS, Venezuela (Reuters) - U.S. congressmen and diplomats on Thursday dismissed allegations by Venezuelan officials and lawmakers that the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency (news - web sites) was trying to topple leftist President Hugo Chavez.
*Venezuelas Chavez Warns on Referendum 10-24-03 (Yahoo) CARACAS, Venezuela - President Hugo Chavez issued a warning Saturday to anyone planning to sign a referendum on his presidency, saying their names would be registered and remembered "forever."
*Showdown in the Ecuadoran Jungle 10-23-03 (Washington Post) LAGO AGRIO, Ecuador, Oct. 22 -- Under a warm setting sun, a half-dozen children gathered Tuesday around a plastic tub filling with water from a tube snaking from the ground. Women washed clothes under the spout, smacking shirts and pants against planks to dry them as the children played.
*Ecuadoreans Sue U.S. Oil Firm Over Amazon Pollution 10-23-03 (Yahoo) LAGO AGRIO, Ecuador (Reuters) - Ecuadorean Indians wearing feathered headdresses and red face-paint marched outside a jungle courthouse on Tuesday at the start of a case accusing U.S. oil giant ChevronTexaco of polluting the Amazon.

 ASIA
*Battle Lines Being Drawn for Philippine Election 10-23-03 (Yahoo) MANILA (Reuters) - With seven months until a ballot is cast, major players in the boisterous and colorful world of Philippine elections have started drawing up the battle lines.

 AFRICA
*Burundi peace in African hands 10-24-03 (Yahoo) Last week, the African Union deployed its first peacekeeping force, aimed at ending a 10-year civil war.
*Net lifeline for African doctors 10-24-03 (BBC) Doctors in East Africa have been given access to thousands of online medical papers thanks to a unique project with the University of Toronto.

 OIL PRICES
*Commerce Secretary Touts Iraq Oil Output 10-24-03 (Yahoo) WASHINGTON - Oil production in Iraq (news - web sites) has the potential to hit 5 million to 6 million barrels per day in the next three to four years, triple the current output,
*Oil firm escapes heavy penalties in Beverly Hills cancer case 10-23-03 (Yahoo) An oil company accused of contributing to a cancer cluster among former students of Beverly Hills High School, the training ground for some of Hollywood's most glamorous names,
*Iraq oil watchdog formally established in UN deal 10-23-03 (Yahoo) UNITED NATIONS (AFP) - The oversight body to monitor the US-led coalition's handling of Iraqi oil money has been formally established, according to documents obtained by AFP.
 
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10-24-03  carib: I know nothing about the <Liberty> affair, so I cannot contribute to the discussion. However, I am puzzled by a logical issue. If the Israelis were so influential on the US government that they could force it to predend the attack was accidental, why not use the same influence to force them to disregard the spy-boat findings, instead of sinking it? The weak point in the "conspiracy theory" appears to be the motive, IMHO.

10-24-03  Fox: <Argentina's Galicia To Have Debt Plan News Within 2 Wks

DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

By Michael Casey

Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

BUENOS AIRES -- Banco Galicia S.A., Argentina's biggest private bank, will announce fresh details on a much-anticipated debt restructuring arrangement with its creditors in the next week or two, sources at the bank said Thursday.

Bank officials said they couldn't comment, however, on the contents of an article published Thursday in which various alternative bond swap proposals were outlined for the restructuring of some $1.5 billion in defaulted debt. The article, in El Cronista, was based on reported consultations that the bank has had with banks and bondholders.

Citing "legal considerations," one official said "the only thing I can say about that is that the process of debt renegotiation for the bank is going well."

"Most certainly, next week, or the following week - the first week of November - there will be some new developments announced about some of the advances. That is, when the creditors and steering committees are able to give us an announcement."

The shares of Banco Galicia's holding company, Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL ) have rallied sharply in recent days amid anticipation that the troubled financial group has made progress on its talks with creditors. It shares are now up 9.6% from the beginning of last week, closing at ARS1.710 ($1=ARS2.845) Thursday.

The El Cronista article said that three options had been discussed.

One option, the report said, would be for a complete swap of debt for new, 10-year dollar-denominated bonds in which the face value would be preserved - but which would carry reduced coupons to be partially paid as cash and partially treated as capitalized interest. The rates would rise progressively over time from 2.5%-3.5% up to 6%-8%.

The second option would offer a similar structure but with 25% of the bonds swapped subject to a higher interest rate than the other 75%. The third option would entail a cash payout with a 55% reduction on the bonds' face value, plus a mix of discount bonds, par bonds and shares in the holding company.

In response to the article, Galicia released a report to the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange Thursday in which it reviewed some of the publicly announced steps it has taken so far in the restructuring process.

Those include, the statement said, the Sept. 30 approval by creditors of a bond issue program worth $2 billion to facilitate the restructuring, the appointment of Salomon Smith Barney/Citigroup as a financial advisor and the registration of creditors - the debt is distributed among approximately 70 international banks, various multilateral organizations and numerous individual bondholders and other investors. In the statement, the bank reiterated that it had invited creditors to form a committee of creditors and that that committee had appointed Deloitte & Touche as its financial advisor.

"The process of negotiation has still not been concluded, such that the scheme as much as the conditions of refinance are subject to modifications until a definitive accord is reached," the bank said in its statement.

Galicia was one of the banks hit hardest by last year's financial crisis. A massive exit of depositors destabilized its balance sheet and forced it to accumulate outstanding discount loans to the central bank worth around ARS4 billion.

Under a scheme agreed upon earlier this year, the central bank will soon begin a so-called matching program allowing banks such as Galicia to start paying back their discount loans. The repayment process would allow banks to match the payments they receive on government bonds in their portfolios against their commitments to the central bank. However, Galicia's access to that program is contingent on resolving its debt restructuring, a factor that's putting some pressure on the bank to move forward with it.>


10-24-03  hazelnutter: any view on TRL (turkish lira) and the pace of it's weakness in the last few days?

thanks


10-24-03  wally: pledges for Iraq (so far):

$20bn from the United States
$5bn from Japan
$3bn-$5bn from the World Bank
$1bn from Saudi Arabia
$1bn from Kuwait
$835m from Britain
<$300m from Spain> $231m from the European Union
$200m from South Korea
<$174m from Italy> $150m from Canada
$32.6m from Sweden
$5.9m from Belgium


10-24-03  moneypenny: Argy takes the poison candy from the drugs candyman, oblivious to the fact that Vene and Bolivia did the same and just look at them.

http://www.thelancet.com/journal/jo...

Argentina and Cuba agree on trade of "drugs for dollars"

<Argentina and Cuba have negotiated an elegant, if partial, solution to their respective economic problems, by way of an agreement under which Havana's US$1·9 billion debt to Buenos Aires will be reduced, in return for drugs, vaccines, and access to Cuban health-care services.

Argentinian people denied medical services as a result of the near-collapse of the republic's health and social security system--a consequence of a generalised economic crisis--will get free treatment in Cuba. Care up to a value of $50 million over 5 years will be provided to low-income Argentinians. Argentina's chronic shortage of drugs will be eased by consignments from Cuba's highly developed pharmaceutical sector, worth $475 million. Argentinian scientists and medical tutors will be trained in pioneering Cuban treatment for the degenerative eye disease retinitis pigmentosa and in other specialties highly developed in Cuba, such as drug rehabilitation and cosmetic surgery.

The benefit to Cuba will be a 75% reduction in bilateral debt to Argentina, which has accumulated over three decades. The three-quarter mark-down is in line with Argentina's own offer to international creditors, in an attempt to negotiate its way out of an economic crisis sparked by a repayment default in December, 2001, and the subsequent, massive devaluation of the Argentinian peso.>

Argy needs Cuba to teach it how to do plastic surgery???? Do they really want to look as ugly as El Barbudo?


10-24-03  wally: <ruspan> flight number, day and time of arrival please.

10-24-03  wally: <ruspan: Wally, booked for Fiji 19/26.11 :-)> GOOD NEWS! did you book the hotel too?

10-24-03  Fox: <Fox - do you have commodity futures positions on?> No Spalito but as long as Im concern <GGAL, BLX, TEO, TGS, PZE, CRESY, CU & BR27> are hooked to the tailwinds of the external sector.

Argy, Brazil & Chile are benefitting from the improvement of the terms of trade this reflects not only in reserves, GDP growth but also in Tax Collections.

One caveat do! Guess whos buying!!!

CHINA Im really concerned with this!! The only reason the world didnt go into recession lin 2001 & 2002 is because of India & China.

If China starts to slowdown then we is in big <CACA>


10-24-03  ruspan: Wally, booked for Fiji 19/26.11 :-)

10-24-03  Fox: <Strange, but i dont regret the sale of brz27 some 4 points higher ;))>

What is there to regreat? ;-))


10-24-03  SPAL: <10-24-03 Fox: Soybean Future:

VSX3 Nov 2003 767 1/2 +3 3/4 7:00AM >

Fox - do you have commodity futures positions on?


10-24-03  SPAL: Cheetah - FYI - SAY up 10.17% in Mumbai today, I won't profess to understand the mechanics of the arbitrage between the local shares and the ADR's, but some of this will carry over ... funny thing is that it happens at strange times during the day and sometimes with a day lead or lag ...

10-24-03  wally: <Wally> perhaps you have the code wkn of Dominica bond 2006?>> sorry <davide>, i don't even think a WKN exists for any DR bond.

10-24-03  amigo latino: <,Natural-Gas Prices Head Higher

just in time for the holidays, utilities across the country are raising the prices they charge for natural gas, cutting further into consumers' budgets……..>

http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB...


10-24-03  Fox: Soybean Future:

VSX3 Nov 2003 767 1/2 +3 3/4 7:00AM

<SOYBEAN COMPLEX

November soybeans were higher overnight following another strong weekly export sales report released on Thursday. Overnight strength posted a new contract high as November is breaking out above the monthly downtrend line drawn off the 1988-1996 highs crossing near 7.63. Multiple closes above this resistance level would open the door for a possible test of the 75% retracement level of the 1988-1991 decline on the monthly November soybean chart crossing at 8.01 1/4. Closes below initial support marked by the 10-day moving average crossing at 7.34 and then Tuesday's low crossing at 7.22 would signal that a top has been posted. Overnight action sets the stage for a 2 to 4 cent higher opening when the day session opens later this morning.>

Anyone interested in commocities may look up this site: http://www.ino.com/

Its free but you must register.


10-24-03  SPAL: <I think we are entering in a risk aversion mood > ... yes - in US Equity also.

10-24-03  optimist: my 5 cents on C's they are at 91.875/92.25 at the mom.. Strange, but i dont regret the sale of brz27 some 4 points higher ;))

10-24-03  amigo latino: <Investors Build Ships, Anticipating Boom In Gas Imports MIAMI BEACH, Fla. -- Ship owners are aggressively expanding the world's fleet of liquefied natural gas tankers, betting that U.S. natural gas imports and world gas demand will sharply increase over the next decade and beyond, a panel of LNG experts said Thursday at the ASBA/BIMCO cargo conference in Miami Beach, Fla. Ship brokerage Poten & Partners said U.S. demand for natural gas is seen growing by about 10 billion cubic feet a day to 77 billion cubic feet a day between 2000 and 2010, while its domestic gas production enters a long-term decline. Gas transporters and producers are building new ships and developing proposals for building and expanding LNG import facilities in the U.S. despite big challenges facing investors, members of the panel said……..

<British Gas> the largest importer of LNG into the U.S

Others with capacity in U.S. LNG import terminals include Shell, a division of Royal Dutch Petroleum Co. (RD); Marathon Oil Corp. (MRO); BP PLC (BP); Statoil ASA (STO) and Tractebel Energia SA (TBLE6.BR), ………….. South Korean companies lead the world in building new LNG tankers for ship owners and gas producers, Khawam said. Hyundai Heavy Industries Co. Ltd. (009540.SE) in South Korea is the world's largest LNG shipbuilding company. Other South Korean firms among the world's top builders include Samsung Heavy Industries and Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering Co. (042660.SE)….. > http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,BT...


10-24-03  Fox: <Advice55: Think, USbonds will perform well tomorrow <fox>> Im a bit lost here I think we are entering in a risk aversion mood that may intensify in EMD in order to protect year's profitability.

IMHO we are going to experience this swings sort of often, US bonds may perform well but for the wrong reasons, i.e. economic slowdown, deflation, that China may be entering in a hard landing by mid 2004, etc...

In the very short term the most important thing for Argy, Brazil & Chile is commodity prices.

Look @ the Nov 03 SoyBean futures!!

Ill check the gazeta now, mind you we have an 1 hr. difference now with Sao.


10-24-03  Fox: C Bond 92.250 92.375 - 0.38 664 660

Brazil 27 90.000 90.850 - 0.75 617 606


10-24-03  davidetre: W<ally> perhaps you have the code wkn of Dominica bond 2006?

10-24-03  atb: PILLZ-...and also Newbridge, I understand they left all the liabilities behind, around 1 bio and the company has less than 90 m in cash, which would value the bonds at less than 10 cents, and possibly much less?

10-24-03  atb: PILLZ-Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't AGX now just a shell company with most of the assets stolen away by China Netcom?

10-24-03  atb: Leo-If you tell me where the loan is trading I'll let you know what I think...

10-24-03  Advice55: fox -
gazeta mercantil de hoje pag b-2

nota do brasil poderia subir quatro degraus....


10-24-03  leo: Atb bond is better than the loan because gx is now an equity play...

10-24-03  atb: PILLZ-Do you know where the GX loan is trading at?

10-24-03  wally: <Advice55: Any awake with CBonds and BR27 prices please?> 92.375 92.437 - 90.700 91.650

10-24-03  amigo latino: Upholding of moral values or plain hypocracy ?

< PARIS, France -- A British woman has been found guilty in a Paris court of running an international prostitution ring. Margaret MacDonald, 44, was jailed for four years and fined 150,000 euros ($177,000). Her lawyer said she would appeal the sentence. MacDonald ran Europe's biggest high-class call girl service and could have spent six years in jail. At the time of her arrest in a hotel near the Champs Elysees, investigators found the names of 430 prostitutes on her laptop. …………> http://edition.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/e...


10-24-03  amigo latino: I guess that these are not the times for the auto co bigs:

<GM Drops Risque-Named Buick Car in Quebec

NEW YORK (AP) - It's all in the name. General Motors Corp. has scrapped plans to replace the Buick Regal with the Buick LaCrosse in Canada because in the French-speaking province of Quebec ``lacrosse'' means to masturbate. Among other things.

GM Canada spokesman Stew Low told the La Crosse Tribune in Wisconsin last Friday that in Quebec youth culture the word is a new slang term

``(It) means a couple of things, either to masturbate or 'I just got screwed,' or 'I just got taken''' Low told the newspaper in Saturday's copyright editions. ``People of our age wouldn't even think twice about (the word.)'' >

http://cnn.netscape.cnn.com/news/st...


10-24-03  Advice55: Any awake with CBonds and BR27 prices please?

10-24-03  davidetre: <tica9> Could you tell me wkn of Dominicana bonds you bought? Thanks

10-24-03  Patient-Trader: PILLZ, to something more fruitful. Do you happen to know at what price the GX submarine cables were implicitely sold in terms of dollars per mile or kilometer ? TIA

10-24-03  Glutt: ElGrande, where has you been? wally was also asking...

10-24-03  merugo: <PILLZ: PT for your info, on your misinformation> Dear Pillz , survivors do not seem to be of your opinion, but I (fortunately) was not there, were you there? www.washington-report.org/backissue... ,http://ussliberty.org/ ,http://home.cfl.rr.com/gidusko/libe... Dear Pillz,I would also like to know how from ( your ?) israel official investigation the ship was too speedy to be a friend (estimated speed 30 knts, actual speed 28 knots) WITH A FLATTENED FLAG? "Liberty was first reported — incorrectly, as it turned out — to be cruising at 30 knots (it was later recalculated to be 28 knots. Under Israeli (and U.S.) naval doctrine at the time, a ship....The sea was calm and the U.S. Navy Court of Inquiry found that the Liberty's flag was very likely drooped and not discernible http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org..." Lies seem to have short legs.

10-24-03  Patient-Trader: PILLZ,

The Israelis knew that it was an American ship. At the same time of the USS Liberty attack an US NSA surveillance plane was over the area and captured the Israeli radio traffic where a pilot reported that he had seen an American flag.

The captain of the ship even raised an even larger American flag after the Israelis shot down the first.

All congress and NSA inquiries into the "incident" conclude that the Israelis knew whom they were attacking. I suggest to read the book "NSA" by James Bamford.

The most likely theory is that the Israelis attacked the ship because at the same time they were slaughtering hundreds of captured Egyptian soldiers and civilians on the Sinai and didnt want any evidence to survive.



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