BradyNet:  Mexican Peso Forward Markets


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Mexican Peso Forward Markets

FUTURES FUTURES vs. INTEREST RATE PARITY INTEREST RATES FORWARD INTEREST RATES I.R.P. FUTURE PESO
ANTICIPATED DEPRECIATION COBERTURA CONTRACT IMPLIED COBERTURA FUTURE COBERTURA vs. FUTURES HEDGED RETURNS

Market Commentary

1/0/00 1/0/00 1/0/00 1/0/00 1/0/00
FUTURES $US/MXP MXP/$US
Spot Peso 0.1064 9.40
June Contract 0.1048 9.54
September Contract 0.1023 9.78
December Contract 0.1000 10.00
March Contract 0.0976 10.25

MENU

FUTURES vs. INTEREST RATE PARITY
June Contract: 6/18/00
IRP Bid 9.506 0.0336
IRP Offer 9.510 0.0301
CME Future 9.540
September Contract: 9/18/00
IRP Bid 9.725 0.0523
IRP Offer 9.735 0.0431
CME Future 9.778
December Contract 12/18/00
IRP Bid 9.954 0.0489
IRP Offer 9.968 0.0341
CME Future 10.003 0.0000
March Contract 0.000 03/18/01
IRP Bid 10.172 0.0766
IRP Offer 10.192 0.0566
CME Future 10.249

MENU

INTEREST RATES Cetes [bid] Cetes [offer] LIBOR
Overnight 13.75% 13.50%
28 days 12.75% 12.50% 6.15%
91 days 14.75% 14.50% 6.32%
182 days 15.75% 15.50% 6.52%
273 days 16.50% 16.25% 6.73%
364 days 16.75% 16.50% 6.84%

MENU

FORWARD INTEREST RATES* One Month Three Month Six Month
Months: 0
12.50% 14.50% 15.50%
1
14.27%
2
16.04%
3
15.26% 15.92%
4
15.69%
5
16.13%
6
15.98% 16.46% 16.23%
7
16.22%
8
16.47%
9
15.20% 15.36%
10
15.17%
11
15.13%
12

MENU

I.R.P. FUTURE PESO bid offer spread
4/24/00 9.400 9.410 0.010
5/22/00 9.448 9.446 0.002
7/24/00 9.597 9.591 0.006
10/23/00 9.824 9.813 0.012
1/22/01 10.063 10.046 0.017
4/23/01 10.281 10.258 0.022

MENU

ANTICIPATED DEPRECIATION I.R.P. Futures Cobertura
4/24/00 until
6/18/00 1.05% 1.46% 1.42%
6/18/00 until
9/18/00 2.31% 2.43% 2.37%
9/18/00 until
12/18/00 2.35% 2.25% 2.44%
12/18/00 until
3/18/01 2.19% 2.40% 2.33%

MENU

COBERTURA CONTRACT bid offer
base 9.4
28 days 0.07 0.072
60 days 0.149 0.154
91 days 0.22 0.225
182 days 0.452 0.46
273 days 0.7 0.71
364 days 0.935 0.945

MENU

IMPLIED COBERTURA FUTURE bid offer
base 9.40
5/19/00 9.470 9.472
7/21/00 9.620 9.625
10/20/00 9.852 9.860
1/19/01 10.100 10.110
4/20/01 10.335 10.345

MENU

COBERTURA vs. FUTURES Cobertura Future
June Contract 6/18/00
Cobertura bid 9.532 9.54
Cobertura offer 9.535
September Contract 9/18/00
Cobertura bid 9.760 9.78
Cobertura offer 9.767
December Contract 12/18/00
Cobertura bid 10.002 10.00
Cobertura offer 10.011
March Contract 3/18/01
Cobertura bid 10.239 10.25
Cobertura offer 10.249

MENU

HEDGED RETURNS money market effective
28 day Cobus 2.55% 2.61%
91 day Cobus 4.58% 4.73%
182 day Cobus 4.82% 4.95%
364 day Cobus 4.68% 4.74%
54 day [Cetes/March Future] 4.16% 4.28%
146 day [Cetes/June Future] 5.30% 5.44%
237 day [Cetes/June Future] 6.03% 6.16%
327 day [Cetes/June Future] 6.06% 6.15%

All rates are quoted on a money market basis unless otherwise noted and all prices used in calculations are offer prices, unless otherwise noted.

* The forward interest rates are calculated using rates interpolated between commonly quoted maturities on a straight-line basis.


The information and opinions contained herein do not necessarily express the opinions of BradyNet, Inc. This report has been prepared solely for informational purposes and is not a solicitation of any transaction in the securities with which it deals or an offer to enter into any such transaction. Prices and/or other information in this report are subject to change without prior notice.

Copyright © 1996 BradyNet, Inc.


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